Wales
The recent political history of Wales is dominated by the Labour party. Since 1955 they have always held an absolute majority of seats in Wales. At their weakest, they won 38% of the vote and 20 seats in 1983. At their strongest they won 60% of the vote and 32 seats in 1966. Labourโs strength lies in the densely populated south of Wales. In the more rural centre and north of the country, the Conservatives and Plaid Cymru are the main electoral contenders.
The fortunes of the Welsh Conservatives have swung with their UK wide success. When in government, they have typically held 8 to 12 seats. Margeret Thatcher was able to capture 14 seats in 1983 as a result of the SDP cutting in to Labourโs vote. Normal service resumed in 1987 when the Tories lost 6 of those seats. They were completely wiped out in 1997 and have spent the early part of the 21st century rebuilding to currently hold 14 seats.
Plaid Cymru emerged as an electoral force in the 1970โs at the same time as the SNP in Scotland. From 1974 onwards they have always been able to hold two or three seats and win up to 12% of the vote but they have been unable to break through beyond that. Unlike the SNP they have not been able to win over disaffected Labour voters in the large deindustrialised cites. They remain confined to the rural arears of Wales.
The boundary changes that will be implemented for the next election will see Wales lose seats. This is not just because the Welsh population growth is not keeping pace with England but because the quota of voters per seat is being equalised between the two. In the past Wales had fewer people in each seat, this is being changed following the expansion of powers for the Welsh Government. Scotland went through a similar process in early 2000โs.