Forecast for Conservative Held Seats

The polls for the Conservatives are looking very poor and many of their MPs are expected to lose their seats, but who is in most danger? Our forecast model uses the latest polling, notional results from 2019 and our comprehensive candidate tracking to show you.

You can find our full forecast here and forecast map here.

Forecast for seats being contested by government ministers

Forecast for seats being contestesed by sitting Conservative MPs