Polling Average for UK General Election Voting Intention
Our polling average blends together all publicly available polls and weights them based on the reliability of the pollster (see our pollster ratings). They are smoothed using a 14 day moving average. Polls commissioned by political groups are weighted down and those commissioned by political parties are excluded.
Polling for the next general election is very sparse so the polling average is not very useful at this stage. As more polls are published it will become more reliable.
Polling for the next General Election
Historic Polling
Our polling database goes back to 1943, although the frequency of polls has grown greatly over time.